Dodgers Three-Peat Odds and Ohtani's Evolving Swing

Takashi Saito, Kenshi Sugiya, and Yusuke Okada break down FanGraphs projections and the Dodgers lineup.

• FanGraphs World Series win probability: Dodgers 24%, Yankees second at 11.3%
• Ohtani’s swing speed has trended down four straight years, but barrel rate and contact rate are up — a deliberate shift from raw power to refined technique
• His xwOBA projects above last year; the slow start is bad luck, not bad contact
• Ohtani’s career WAR stands at 50.1 (2018–26), consistently posting 8–9 per season — MVP-level production backed by the numbers
• No. 2 hitter Kyle Tucker projects for 30 HR / 30 SB with strong defense and is expected to unlock Betts’s true offensive ceiling
• 25-year-old Pages is hitting .400 through the first 10 games, showing rapid growth by driving the ball to center
• Manager Roberts has confirmed his catching rotation: Smith starts when Ohtani or Yamamoto pitches, Rushing otherwise

2026-04-10 · Watch on YouTube

Japanese page: ドジャース3連覇と大谷打撃変化を分析