A Pascal's Wager for AI doomers

https://pluralistic.net/2026/04/16/pascals-wager/

Article

  • Cory Doctorow argues AI doomerism distracts from real, present corporate harms.
  • His ‘Pascal’s Wager’: even if AI isn’t dangerous, escaping surveillance tech is still right.
  • Pushes toward open-source ‘international digital public goods’ over US tech lock-in.
  • Skeptical that current statistical techniques lead to true intelligence or godlike AI.

Discussion

  • Commenters argue Doctorow underestimates LLM capabilities and relies on outdated framing.
  • ‘Saltcured’ names a second AI doomer flavor: society collapsing from AI cultists pushing it everywhere prematurely.
  • Pron notes superhuman intelligence wouldn’t grant godlike control over nonlinear systems.
  • General split: those who see Doctorow’s corporate critique as valid vs. those who think he’s rationalizing.

Discuss on HN


Type Link
Added Apr 21, 2026
Modified Apr 21, 2026