Graphs that explain the state of AI in 2026

https://spectrum.ieee.org/state-of-ai-index-2026

Article

  • Stanford HAI AI Index 2026 visualized: capabilities, investment, emissions, adoption.
  • Training frontier models (e.g. Grok 4) generates 72,000+ tons CO2-equivalent.
  • China leads globally in robotics installations, trajectory unchanged since 2012.
  • Software engineer GitHub activity cited as proxy for AI adoption.

Discussion

  • illiac786: capability progress is clearly plateauing across most benchmarks, not accelerating.
  • tqi: 72k tons sounds alarming but is trivial vs. 38 billion tons global annual emissions.
  • eulgro: Claude 4 Opus inference estimated at 23W per medium prompt—10x less efficient models exist.
  • themafia: profits generated by AI conspicuously absent from all graphs.

Discuss on HN


Type Link
Added Apr 20, 2026
Modified Apr 20, 2026