https://github.com/sterlingcrispin/nothing-ever-happens
Article
-
Python bot that automatically buys No on non-sports yes/no Polymarket markets
-
Scans for NO positions priced below configured thresholds, betting against unlikely events
-
Safety-first: requires three separate env flags to execute real trades
-
Includes dashboard, database recovery, and wallet inspection tools
Discussion
-
Strategy exploits prediction markets overpricing dramatic outcomes
-
Essentially arbitraging human imagination; exciting markets are least likely to resolve
-
Critics warn this is picking up pennies on an active railroad track (tail risk)
-
Similar bot on Manifold Markets already proven profitable
Discuss on HN