If you started a company two years ago, many assumptions are no longer true

https://steveblank.com/2026/03/17/your-startup-is-probably-dead-on-arrival/

Article

  • Steve Blank argues pre-2025 startups are built on obsolete assumptions about engineering costs
  • AI has collapsed build costs; bottleneck is now judgment, distribution, and customer insight
  • Startups not leveraging AI agents are at structural competitive disadvantage

Discussion

  • Many commenters: engineering was never the bottleneck—this argument predates AI by a decade
  • Blank’s real example cited as a defense VC market shift story, not a generic AI-adoption lesson
  • Psychological costs (willingness to test and fail fast) seen as the new real bottleneck
  • Contrarian: startup failure rates haven’t shifted despite 20 years of lean methodology advice

Discuss on HN


Type Link
Added Apr 14, 2026
Modified Apr 15, 2026