https://steveblank.com/2026/03/17/your-startup-is-probably-dead-on-arrival/
Article
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Steve Blank argues pre-2025 startups are built on obsolete assumptions about engineering costs
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AI has collapsed build costs; bottleneck is now judgment, distribution, and customer insight
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Startups not leveraging AI agents are at structural competitive disadvantage
Discussion
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Many commenters: engineering was never the bottleneck—this argument predates AI by a decade
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Blank’s real example cited as a defense VC market shift story, not a generic AI-adoption lesson
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Psychological costs (willingness to test and fail fast) seen as the new real bottleneck
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Contrarian: startup failure rates haven’t shifted despite 20 years of lean methodology advice
Discuss on HN